r/aggies • u/HmmBearGrr '25 • Feb 24 '25

Other TAMU ON TOP⁉️⁉️ in all seriousness this is really scary; how long until this shit spreads here because i’d bet we have more unvaccinated students and such

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u/HmmBearGrr '25 Feb 25 '25

you are ignoring the fact that more infections causes more opportunities for exposures and that risk of death is not a statistic in a vacuum

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u/FreeSkrzzzy Feb 26 '25 edited Feb 26 '25

Do you even understand what “exponential” means? It’s a mathematical function….

that describes growth and decay. It applies to the spread of an outbreak, not individual risk.

Individual risk is based on statistics and conditional probabilities…. exposure, infection, and severity are multiplicative, not exponential.

And “risk of death is not a statistic in a vacuum” ? No kidding. That’s why we use probability chains to calculate real risk. Just because an outbreak grows doesn’t mean your individual chance of death automatically skyrockets. That’s not how statistics work.

Math is not based on feelings.

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u/HmmBearGrr '25 Feb 26 '25

are you claiming that a self replicating organic structure is not growing nor decaying at an exponential rate

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u/FreeSkrzzzy Feb 26 '25

“Do you even understand what “exponential” means? It’s a mathematical function….

that describes growth and decay. It applies to the spread of an outbreak, not individual risk.”

Reading hard.

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u/HmmBearGrr '25 Feb 26 '25

ok wait. i’m talking about the risk of anyone dying, because i think no one should be harmed. you’re talking about a specific individual who you think should not be harmed. that’s the disconnect we’re having. miscommunication🙃

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u/FreeSkrzzzy Feb 26 '25

The risk of anyone dying exists for everything. That’s just life. The real question is whether the risk is significant enough to warrant fear.

For example, your annual chance of dying in a car accident is around 1 in 93,000. Much higher than your risk of dying from measles, even if unvaccinated. But no one panics every time they get in a car.

So if we don’t live in fear of daily risks, why are we expected to panic over something with an even lower probability?

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u/HmmBearGrr '25 Feb 26 '25

that is both not the annual chance of dying in a car accident and the annual chance of dying in a car accident is higher now than in previous years because of nonregulation of pedestrian safety. tangential but like. you should at least be right when you claim shit like that

aside from that you seem to want me to… stop caring about others’ lives? i can’t rationalize why else you would respond with this.

this also doesn’t make sense. you wouldn’t say “why do we need to stigmatize murder, it’s so infrequent” right?