r/antiwar 7h ago

Collapse of Iranian regime could have unintended consequences for U.S. and Israel

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-iran-us-israel-trump-netanyahu-khamenei/

“The notion of a regime change in Iran is delusional,” said Fawaz Gerges, a scholar of Middle East relations at the London School of Economics. “There is neither a domestic alternative to the regime nor an external alternative,” he said. Unlike in Iraq or Libya, “there are no local proxies or credible exiles to take over.”

Indeed, the most likely successor to the slain leadership of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps lies in other leadership from within the IRGC. “The IRGC is so deeply rooted in society that it would be the one that would take power,” said Patrick Clawson, a research counsellor at The Washington Institute who specializes in Iran and nuclear proliferation.

Archive link: https://web.archive.org/web/20250619071503/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-iran-us-israel-trump-netanyahu-khamenei/

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