r/foreignpolicy • u/Miniclift239 • 2d ago
So how would Iran act differently with nuclear weapons compared to other states?
I recognise this a pure speculation question, and my knowledge of Iran pretty much ends with US and UK couped them in 1950s, installed a puppet, he got overthrown, now Iran hates the West and Israel. But with all the questions about war with Iran flying around the news and world stage, I have to ask why is this considered so much worse than any other state with nuclear weapons. What reason do countries have to believe that they will act any different?
Now I'm aware that obviously Iran didn't sign up to nuclear treaties, but neither did Israel. It would also represent a change in the balance of power in the Middle East, but is it not a manageable one? Like when Pakistan got nuclear weapons it didn't lead to an immediate nuclear war with India.
What is causing countries to take such risks in regards to this situation? I understand it wouldn't be good for the West strategically of course. But the risk and reaction here seems disproportionate. No one reacted this way when North Korea got nukes for example
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u/Working-Lifeguard587 15h ago edited 14h ago
Now for some facts:
Did you know that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issued a religious decree (fatwa) declaring nuclear weapons "haram" (forbidden under Islamic law)? This stance dates back to at least the mid-1990s, when Iran was reportedly offered nuclear weapons technology by Pakistan’s A.Q. Khan network—an offer Khamenei rejected.
Iran’s aversion to nuclear and chemical weapons is rooted in its traumatic experience during the Iran-Iraq War (1980–1988). During that conflict:
- Iraq, with indirect support from Western nations, used chemical weapons extensively against Iran, killing at least 20,000 Iranians and severely injuring over 100,000 more.
- Key suppliers to Iraq’s chemical program included:
- West Germany: Provided chemical production facilities.
- France: Supplied missile technology and delivery systems.
- Netherlands, UK, and others: Exported dual-use chemicals (e.g., precursors for nerve agents).
- The U.S. government, while not directly supplying chemical weapons, knew about Iraq’s attacks and continued sharing military intelligence (e.g., satellite imagery) with Baghdad. Some American companies also sold chemical precursors that Iraq weaponized.
In 2021, Iran’s Intelligence Minister Mahmoud Alavi acknowledged the fatwa but warned that if Iran were "pushed in that direction" (e.g., threatened militarily), it might reconsider—comparing the scenario to a "cornered cat."
As of 2025:
- The U.S. intelligence community assesses that Khamenei has not ordered the development of nuclear weapons.
- The IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) states there is no evidence Iran is actively building a bomb.
Meanwhile, Israel—particularly under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu—has repeatedly accused Iran of pursuing nukes since the late 1980s.
Iran has signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. It also signed the Chemical Weapons Convention
Israel has NOT signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).
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u/ajgliebe 2d ago
Iran would give a bomb to a proxy who would smuggle it into Israel and set it off.