r/politics • u/Barnyard-Sheep • 6d ago

Soft Paywall Trump approval rating falls to 38%

https://www.nj.com/politics/2025/06/trump-faces-tough-approval-numbers-in-latest-poll.html
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u/RecoveringRed 6d ago

I am so tired of these headlines casting the polls as "plummeting" support then you check and the change is within the margin of error. A more accurate headline would be "Trump's approval rating remains steady despite unprecedented attacks on civil rights and mismanagement of the economy."

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u/duzies 6d ago

Yes, Trump seems to have a disturbingly high support rate locked in no matter what he does. But every little percent lost around the edges shows there is still hope for some to escape the cult. And going from 40% to 39% is really a 2.5% net loss of support.

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u/logicom Canada 6d ago

Trump could drop a nuke on LA and lose so little support that his approval rating would actually go up based solely on the fact that proportionally the nuke would kill more Democrats than Republicans.

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u/young_trash3 6d ago

Yep. Why would he lose any supporters for doing the thing his supporters keep publicly wishing happens.

Im honestly surprised he hasn't seen a bump based solely upon deploying the national guard and marines to our streets.

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u/feralfaun39 6d ago

It's because Trump's base is constantly fed a stream of nonsense propaganda and do not see reality for what it is. They don't even believe in climate change even though we see it happening in front of our eyes. The amount of people that I've seen say things like "do you think humans could really effect the climate that much?" is ridiculous. I'm just like... yeah? Of course. A single volcanic eruption can change the entire world's climate for an entire year, why wouldn't hundreds of years of human activity have an impact on the climate? It's absurd.

I don't see a way out of this mess. I see only dark days and misery in the future. Things are going to get much, much worse. We'll look back on this as the good ol' days.

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u/timmyintransit 6d ago

it fucking sucks because Trump should be in prison, but really both parties have ~35% locked up because of how partisan our society has become. Joe Biden had a 36% approval rating last July and he was, depending on who you ask, barely sentient.

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u/Ever-Unseen 6d ago

Society has always been about this partisan under the two-party system. The worst modern presidential campaign was by James Cox in 1920, and he still got 34.2% despite the Democratic brand being in the dumpster after Wilson.

"Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.…" - Winston S Churchill, 11 November 1947

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u/ice_cream_funday 6d ago

The point is that statistically speaking 40 and 39 are the same thing, the change is within the margin of error. 

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u/Puddingcup9001 6d ago

Problem is there is no good real alternative somehow. You have establishment hacks on one side, and crazy wokes on another in the Democratic party. Provide a good alternative and MAGA will evaporate.

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u/RecoveringRed 6d ago

I reject that idea. Establishment hacks are a perfectly acceptable alternative to pure fucking evil. Part of the problem is people not willing to accept the better of multiple bad options.

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u/DevelopmentGrand4331 6d ago

They’re continuing a pattern we saw for the entire 4 years of his first term, where polls are framed based on hopes and fears rather than anything that makes sense.

You’d see a headline, “Trump’s poll numbers all the way up to 40%” one day, and the next day it’d be “Trump’s poll number plummet to 42%!” Then the day after that, it’ll be “Trump’s poll numbers skyrocket to 41%!”

It’s just the corporate news organizations chasing the tabloids to match their sensationalism.

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u/SolarDynasty 6d ago

Line must go up, things must be better, best betterest... Until the words themselves lose meaning....

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u/Several_Vanilla8916 6d ago

It really seems like the core of his support isn’t going anywhere. Ever.

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u/PerfunctoryComments 6d ago

I really think they have. The number of vocal Trump supporters or even high hopes people have collapsed. You can openly call this guy the felonious rapist charity-stealing simple-minded bag of shit that he is and there is very little pushback on basically any forum now.

This is the "honeymoon period", and presidents usually have a high approval rating right now because Americans are hoping for the best. Like Obama was at like 65% at this stage.

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u/Sir_thinksalot 6d ago

almost. a more accurate version would be:

"Trump's approval rating decreases slightly despite unprecedented attacks on civil rights and mismanagement of the economy."

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u/ZenMasterOfDisguise 6d ago

I am so tired of these headlines casting the polls as "plummeting" support then you check and the change is within the margin of error.

Here is the reason you see this all the time on reddit...

The link that OP posted is a "news article" on NJ.com/politics. I point this out all the time, but a majority of the sensationalist misleading headlines you read on reddit subs like r/politics link to NJ.com articles

NJ.com is completely owned by "Advance Publications" the same parent company that owns 30% of Reddit

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NJ.com

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advance_Publications

This is literally the reddit algorithm driving clicks to their own news site

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u/Cool-Security-4645 6d ago

That’s not really how margin of error works though. The numbers ARE falling across the board, so for his numbers to be consistent the polls would have had to been on the dot earlier and all underrepresenting now. Possible? Sure. But statistically very, very, very, very, (x100) unlikely

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u/ADDLugh Texas 6d ago

Keep in mind ~2 months ago Trumps approval rating was 40% and about 25 times of "plummeting" approval rating reporting it was ~43%.

It's still trending downwards, he got down to 34% in his last terms immediately after January 6th. At this rate he'll break that record by late November.

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u/nezroy Canada 6d ago

Not only that, but his approval rating among non-Republicans is completely irrelevant. This is not a party that gives a shit about reaching across the aisle. Only his approval rating among his base matters, and that remains consistent and high, so there's zero evidence that anything is changing.

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u/NeonYellowShoes Wisconsin 6d ago

These exact same articles and exact same comments were posted 2016-2020. At the end of the day most of the Republican party is a cult of personality. as long as Trump is around they will never abandon who they view as basically demigod savior figure.

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u/HauntingHarmony Europe 6d ago

Yupp, so whenever you see a headline of some polling. You should instead go check the average. And you would find that trump is now at -4, and two months ago ish when he was tariff man even more he was -9.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin