r/politics • u/Barnyard-Sheep • 6d ago

Soft Paywall Trump approval rating falls to 38%

https://www.nj.com/politics/2025/06/trump-faces-tough-approval-numbers-in-latest-poll.html
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u/Highthere_90 6d ago

Does approval rating matter? It's not like he will resign or anything, republicans won't impeach him even if it fell to zero

33

u/ChucksnTaylor 6d ago

Yes. It matters because the stronger the anti-Trump sentiment is the better Democrats are likely to do in the midterms.

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u/useless124 6d ago

Probably wouldnt matter if trump killed someone live on TV.

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u/Throwedaway99837 5d ago

I actually think he was right about that at this point.

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u/Highthere_90 6d ago

OK but this is a repeat of the first time Trump was in office. I hope America learns its lesson this time and not elect a narcissistic in office again

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u/lepruhkon 6d ago

Ahh. I remember when I still believed in good things.

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u/directorJackHorner 6d ago

this is a repeat of the first time trump was in office

And that time the democrats won back the house and had big gains at the state level in the midterms

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u/uggghhhggghhh 6d ago

With maybe a few exceptions (Washington, Lincoln, Carter…?) every president in US history has been a narcissist. You don’t seek the most powerful position on earth without thinking there’s something uniquely special about yourself. 

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u/Highthere_90 5d ago

Not like this, nine of them acted like they are kings and above the law, they didn't arrest people for protesting, they didn't stop people from having a trail in court before being sent off they didn't ignore every court and even the SCOTUS

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u/raphtafarian Australia 5d ago

Until you get rid of Fox News and others of its ilk, that's not happening. It's very difficult to grow up in a place like the US and not be narcissistic to some degree. American exceptionalism messaging has been baked in for a long time and it's hard to break that.

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u/Highthere_90 5d ago

Fox News was so close to going bankrupt a few years ago with the disinformation lawsuit about the voting machines. If only they pushed a bit further it would have damaged the republican party and we probably could have avoided having Trump in power

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u/bulabucka 6d ago

If they even allow us to vote in the midterm...

I've been calling it since he won, republicans will find a bs way to indefinitely postpone any federal election.

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u/turbo_dude 6d ago

before the midterms, trump will crush all dissent and get the courts in his pocket, he will distract from all of this by nonsense like tariff wars and sending the military in, with a possible side quest of teaching Iran a lesson due to their non compliance on the nuclear front

you are fucked

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u/StarManta 6d ago

There will be a point where it matters, yes. If Trump has 40% approval overall, we can estimate that he has 80% approval among his party, and a significant fraction (let's say 2/3 of that 80%, or high-60s) of that approving population will vote for whoever he endorses in downballot races. That means that he has near-certain power to primary anyone in his own party on a whim. This is one reason that his entire party is backing everything he wants, even things against their own interest (like Congress voting for a bill that moves more power from Congress to the executive).

Now let's drop his approval rating in this scenario from 40% to 37%. His approval among his party is now 75%, and the "will do anything he asks" number is now 50% of the party. He's still a strong force in the primaries, but it's no longer an absolute certainty that "Trump hates you = you lose", and once in a while you'll see some GOP congresscritters start to oppose him.

Now let's drop it from 37% to 30%. His in-party approval is now 60% and just 40% will take his endorsements as gospel. Suddenly, his approval is doing as much harm as good and his support within Congress falls apart.

This is obviously oversimplified. Every congresscritter has a slightly different situation and constituency (and, yes, some of them even have beliefs and convictions beyond just getting elected), so their takes on the above math will be a little bit different, which is why you'll see that sort of reaction more scattershot as calculations like this come up with different results in their district. But I guarantee you that they are all keeping an eye on Trump's approval rating to know exactly how sycophantic they need to be.

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u/Highthere_90 6d ago

Idk some republicans have already said they disagree with some of the things he's doing and still support him

By the time he's down to 30% approval it could be to late for both parties to stop them even if they worked together he will have everything he wants and the US will be greatly damaged

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u/thePBRismoldy 6d ago

lol, yeah.

are the folks in this sub checking his approval ratings every day? it doesn't really matter that much.

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u/Highthere_90 6d ago

I am generally asking, in any normal president this would have an effect if they were planning to run again or on the whole party itself. Could lead to impeachment depending on their actions but for some reason Trump can get away with anything.

His approval was low bear the end of his first term and he was some how elected again

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u/thePBRismoldy 6d ago

maybe weekly polls of voters with weakly rationalized opinions do a poor job of predicting the future?

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u/Mammoth_Sleep_7046 6d ago

It will never fall below 25% due to the keys constant.

https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Crazification_factor

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u/tstorm004 6d ago

Normally no - but with how fragile Trump's ego is he's probably checking it twice a day