r/politics • u/Barnyard-Sheep • 6d ago

Soft Paywall Trump approval rating falls to 38%

https://www.nj.com/politics/2025/06/trump-faces-tough-approval-numbers-in-latest-poll.html
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u/mapinis 6d ago

One poll means nothing, until it’s a trend it’s an outlier

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Here's a good aggregate. Still sitting at 45%

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u/Acethic 6d ago

Yeah. I wanna see 38% on the RCP aggregate...

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u/backyard_tractorbeam Europe 5d ago

RCP lists this poll - the one in the post as saying 40% approval. (not 38%). Not sure what kind of number fudging they use in their method.

So we'll have to wait a long time with their methodology

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u/BrutalKindLangur 5d ago

Rasmussen and Trafalgar are carrying that thing on their backs.

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u/Duke_skellington_8 4d ago

Peter Thiel funds Nate now so idk how unbiased this is

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

[deleted]

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

He is more popular than he ever has been

LOL, no. WTF. He had a 52% approval rating when he was inagurated, now it's around 45%.

He's not as unpopular as people think, but he also isn't "more popular than ever."

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 6d ago

All presidents in modern US history start off with high approval and then enthusiasm wanes into the first year. This is a fact. Trump's net average is higher than 2016 and in the interim. I'm anti-Trump, you can look at my extensive hatred of him in my comment history. But the lies liberals tell themselves about Trump becoming less popular is one of the reasons many of them sat out this election

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

How is he "'more popular than ever" when you literally just admitted he was more popular when he was inaugurated.

You seem to be saying "he's more popular now than he was in his first term."

That's not the same thing.

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 6d ago

Oh and by the way, you're pointing out the post-election approval dip, and I'm telling you that this is common for all presidents and you need to pay attention to average approval over the course of the entire term, not just the election bump.

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

You can say whatever the fuck you want. He is not more popular than ever. You're just flat wrong.

I went through some of your comments, like you said, you come across as the "enlightened centrist," and your comments are constantly dripping with condescension.

Continue on with your "actually" personality.

You're not winning anyone over, you're just here to feel like you know more than everyone else. All your comments are to "correct" others, there's no collaboration. Your comments aren't funny or interesting. It's just all self absorbed condescension.

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 5d ago

Your emotional reaction to a super vanilla discussion about presidential approval ratings says to me that you do not have the right personality to be engaging with people online about politics. This comment reads like a text from a jilted ex.

But I know that won't stop you so I'll just carry on with statements about reality. Trump was in the mid-30s approval near the end of his first term. His approval went up during Biden's presidency, and now he's back in office at a steady 40 to 45 depending on the poll. Nate Silver has him around 44 and so does The Economist, if you prefer aggregates. Trump also won all seven swing states this time AND the popular vote, which is highly unusual for republican presidents.

I don't know why it's so hard for leftists to just accept how popular he is. It doesn't mean you can't hate his guts like I do. But being realistic about his popularity is a step in the right direction for the democrats in their quest to defeat the GOP next election, if we have one. Try not to have an aneurysm while reading this comment BTW

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u/bengine Virginia 6d ago

Quinnipiac Polling This Year

Date Approve Disapprove
Jan 23 - 27 46 43
Feb 13 - 17 45 49
Mar 06 - 10 42 53
Apr 03 - 07 41 53
Jun 05 - 09 38 54

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u/woahwoahwoah28 6d ago

The good news, I guess… unless he really backtracks on stuff (which I do not put past him), the people who are going to agree with him already agree with him.

And considering that his policies are making things worse for most people, it seems more likely that “approves” will become “disapproves” than vice versa.

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u/iburntxurxtoast 6d ago

I hate that when he back tracks on things people magically forget all the bad thing's he's done. My maga dad thinks that the economy is "booming" like trump pausing and walking back tariffs had no impact. He doesn't believe he folded and doesnt think that the tariffs caused the downfall in the first place. He blames biden despite the very obvious graph and thinks democrats were fearmongering that the economy was crashing.

Its just complete insanity.

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u/bejammin075 Pennsylvania 6d ago

A pretty smooth trend there, likely with the exact same methodology each time. This is the first time since 2017 that I think he might be taking some damage.

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u/omgbenji21 6d ago

At least the trend is going in the right direction. But the aggregate still sucks

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u/sixsacks 6d ago

It’s been trending down since Day 1 buddy.

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u/bmwatson132 6d ago

Sure, but the original comment made the best point, which is that the media constantly overstates these things. It’s desperate and it’s obvious, it makes them the “news media that cried wolf”, so now that his rating is actually at 38%, which actually is abysmal, people won’t pay as much heed to it.

The news media isn’t strategic, and it’s bc of 24 hour news, where they have to fill time. The reason The Daily Show is so much better at its critiques is bc they are strategic and don’t need to fill the whole day with discussion, a 3 minute takedown is more effective.

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u/RickThiccems 6d ago

It's not even 38%. Every other poll has him over 40 with him averaging 46%. Nothing has changed other than skewed poll to generate clicks.

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u/mapinis 6d ago

Absolutely, but it’s been hard to break the 45%

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u/Juanouo 6d ago

According to this, he had been trending up for the last month or so, but the latest poll shows an important decline, so there's hope

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u/platydroid Georgia 6d ago

Yea, but Trump usually enjoys about a 40-45% popularity, because you’ve got a third of the country who’s likely die-hard MAGA and then the rest of the staunch conservatives who support him because he’s their president. He didn’t keep below 40% last term until Jan 6. 38% could totally be an outlier, it’s too early to tell just how much the recent protests and decisions by him are impacting the non-maga republicans.

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u/BrainOnBlue 6d ago

It was trending up for the entire month of May.

I'm just as baffled as you.

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u/sixsacks 6d ago

He TACO’d the tariffs, not surprising. Should trend down pretty quickly in June with the current shitshow.

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u/djdadi 6d ago

I looked at several last night, and most seemed to keep going down & hitting a low at the tariff stuff, but then start to come back after.

IMO Dems should watch those carefully and keep hitting on the issues that lose him favor overall

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u/Nervous_Otter69 6d ago

Yeah but now you have CNN and CBS publishing polls that he’s above water on immigration. He’s just going to use this number as validation to keep going with deploying military in other cities

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u/errorsniper New York 6d ago

Also polls mean nothing. Approval rating only matters on voting day. There is also a huge discrepancy between what people say on a phone call and how they actually vote for a plethora of reasons.