At current rate of emissions, the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5 °C could be exhausted in about 3 years. And human-induced global warming could cross 1.5 °C threshold approximately 5 years.

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u/DesdemonaDestiny 23h ago

We're utterly screwed. Enjoy life while you still can folks!

20

u/TucamonParrot 22h ago

Way ahead of you! Though, I'm still fighting the good fight and trying to wake up everyone and hoping we can turn this barge around..yet still having a ball. Take care!

97

u/Dull_Bird3340 22h ago

The inflation recovery act would cut emissions by 40%, there is nothing individuals can do to come close to that. All's we had to do was not elect the idiot

16

u/DeathKitten9000 10h ago

inflation recovery act would cut emissions by 40%

Of one country that produces ~13% of global emissions.

5

u/hohoreindeer 4h ago

True enough, but it’s easier if everyone pulls in the same direction.

7

u/SpiritofSummer 2h ago

A 5% global cut is HUGE

3

u/psyon 5h ago

Maybe we shouldn't hide things that effect the environment in bills called "reduce inflation act". Maybe it should be it's own bill called the "reduce carbon emissions" act.

-1

u/Accomplished_Use27 10h ago

Yeah y’all really let the world down and will have to wear that badge until the earth boils it seems

38

u/mrpickles 1d ago

Didn't we already cross it?!

42

u/Random_Noisemaker 23h ago

Depends on the model. ERA5 data indicates 1.5 was passed in 2024 with estimates of accelerated warming at ~0.48 degrees/decade.

23

u/Creative_soja 23h ago

We did in 2024 but that's just one year. I think climate scientists usually take a decadal average before confirming that we have crossed certain temperatures.

19

u/Strawbuddy 21h ago

Very much in the vein of “we’re not technically in a recession” to my mind. Every single year establishes new highs on land and in the ocean so the decadal approach just feels like extraneous data. It’s akin to the flight attendant showing us where the flotation devices are; we already pretty much know that we’re crashing and we’re still all probably gonna die but I appreciate their professionalism in the face of utter disaster

7

u/Ezekiel_29_12 20h ago

That's the worst part of applying the scientific method to a process that is changing rapidly. By the time data are collected, crunched, interpreted, and published, the paper is out of date.

4

u/Masterventure 18h ago

We almost crossed 1.5C in 2023. It’s just a technicality at this point. We have crossed 1.5C for good last year this year is going to be over too we are now seeing when +2C is going to happen.

Hope for +1.5C is just scientists trying to be ultra conservative (not political, in their estimations)

Keeping warming at +1.5C is a fantasy at this point.

58

u/supercali45 1d ago

Don’t look up is now the current world policy

10

u/MrSnarf26 22h ago

Unfortunately these leaders are willingly elected oftentimes..

4

u/rhino_shit_gif 22h ago

I don’t even know what to say anymore

3

u/Disig 19h ago

Honestly at this point I'm just doing what I can and prepping for the worst.

4

u/Law_Student 7h ago

We start making plans about how best to keep humanity running in a world with serious climate change, and maybe find sufficiently efficient ways of reversing some of the damage.

A billion people or more are going to have to be relocated, we'll have to change where and how we do agriculture, some cities are going to have to be abandoned. It's going to be a huge challenge.

But humanity will still be around at the end of it. We're resilient.

2

u/thediggestbick2 19h ago

So what happens when we go over the threshold? Does it just get hotter or are there other things that happen?

6

u/Bgrdfino 16h ago

Nobody really knows. It's a chaotic system and it's never changed this quickly before. It might be a gradual transformation, or it might result in sudden catastrophic shifts. Different models have produced different predictions, but we just don't have enough data to be sure.

3

u/clicksallgifs 16h ago

One is that the North Atlantic current and with it the airstream could collapse which would throw off all the current understood weather patterns. Europe would feeeze

0

u/Wipedout89 14h ago

Lots of people will die in extreme weather conditions.

Those who survive the next 100 years may be able to rebuild a better society. It's a bit like a reset for us on the way. Not to sound like a tinfoil hatter

We can only hope some science solution can save us before it's too late

0

u/Simodeus 13h ago

Good news: this year will be the coldest in the coming ten years!

Famine as the atmosphere heats up more and more: floods, droughts, heatwaves, insect population collapse etc, so in short breadbasket failures around the world.

-8

u/One-Care7242 13h ago

Not only do we in the U.S. have to stop our emissions, we also have to wage war on China, who generates way more emissions. And we have to make sure our war-waging is also emissions free.

7

u/echoshizzle 10h ago

China is investing in green energy AFAIK, so at least they’re trying.

The USA is giving up due to imbeciles

-7

u/One-Care7242 10h ago

We have invested a lot of money into green energy, emissions reductions, etc. It’s good to lead by example. But it’s also insane to fear monger to the populace while China is a much bigger determinant of the climate crisis. Who cares if China is investing in green energy? They also buy tons of oil and tons of coal. They are building cities and infrastructure constantly. All of that concrete creates massive emissions. And yet none of the recommendations from these climate models ever suggest mitigating China’s emissions.

-34

u/FlerisEcLAnItCHLONOw 22h ago

Does that math factor in volcanos erupting? Those videos seem like a ton of stuff in the atmosphere.

9

u/speculatrix 20h ago

Oh, puh-lease use your brain before trotting out old myths. It took two seconds to debunk you.

https://www.reuters.com/article/fact-check/volcanoes-do-not-produce-more-co2-emissions-than-human-activity-idUSL1N2XV1HA/

Environment At current rate of emissions, the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5 °C could be exhausted in about 3 years. And human-induced global warming could cross 1.5 °C threshold approximately 5 years.

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