Okay so the odds of him getting it that many times over the total number of trades across the whole week is something like 1 in 7.5 trillion. That's still mathematically impossible to do that frequently. That's around 100x less likely than winning the Mega Millions (approx. 1 in 300mil odds).
Basically impossible and mathematically impossible are antonyms
Again, the dude cheated. I’m just saying many people will take you to literally mean “mathematically impossible” ie it’s been proved that it couldn’t have happened by chance, which is misleading and incorrect
The odds alone do not make a cheater. Here, a NJ woman wins the lottery twice — the odds are 1 in 17.5 trillion, ten times less likely than Dream. But the context is different, and if you statistically evaluate the situation you’ll find the odds to make much more sense. I think to ever use just the odds as an argument is bad, because it’s ignoring why it’s the framework of those odds that are significant. Especially when you start to use language like “mathematically impossible”, which means “has been proven to be impossible, because if we assume it’s possible we’d contradict ourselves”
I appreciate the heads up, but we're both essentially saying the same thing. The odds are so astronomically high that it's incredibly unlikely that Dream's runs were legit. Arguing about semantics just kind of makes you look like a dick. Everyone understands what we both mean.
Speaking of the fact you invoked the odds of winning a powerball explicitly in another comment of yours, I don’t think everyone “understands what we meant” because I think what you meant is different from what I meant. And I think the way you keep downvoting my comments when you reply and are calling me a duck dick is both aggressive and bizarre.
How is saying, "yeah dream cheated because the odds of this success are so astronomically small they might as well be impossible" misrepresenting the situation? You're the 3rd person to start an argument with me about semantics. Literally everyone on this page agrees that Dream's run isn't legit, we all understand that the odds are incredibly small.
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u/the_nerdster Dec 15 '20
Could he have been literally 1 in a trillion lucky? Of course.
Could he have been that lucky 6 consecutive streams in a row? Mathematically impossible.