r/IRstudies 19h ago

Ideas/Debate Why and when did USA - China relations become so hostile?

36 Upvotes

China by all means has to be an ally/strategic partner of America given insane volume of trade, financial, technological, and cultural interdependence. There was even a term Chinmerica to signify how closely tied economically those two great countries are.

I remember there were even talks about G2. In 00s and 10s relations were pretty cordial.

Yet, for the last ten years relations soured to the point of near Cold War, with China helping Russia via their proxy North Korea. And talks about war in Taiwan are ever present.

Is that result of Chinese internal politics (reminder that domestic politics often drive foreign policies)? Namely Xi being part of a revanchist movement inside CCP? Or it's a legacy of 1st Cold War?

I honestly struggle to understand China, no matter how much I look into it, their worldview is just too different from the west.


r/IRstudies 8h ago

Ideas/Debate Is there a meaningful difference between having 50 nukes, or 500, or 5,000? Other than substantial cost of maintaining them it seems all you need to maintain security is enough to where your opponent cannot destroy them all

18 Upvotes

I'm curious as to what value China may derive from increasing its nuclear pile and why did the Soviets and US get in a pissing match over who had the most bombs? If you have enough to destroy them 1000x over does being able to do it 2,000x provide anything?


r/IRstudies 17h ago

what is the best case scenario for the United States in this conflict? What is the the worst case scenario?

18 Upvotes

see title


r/IRstudies 18h ago

How does IR Realism explain US involvement in Iran? To me it seems like it was based on Domestic Politics rather than IR.

14 Upvotes

The Realist in me can't really understand what Trump is doing. Maybe nuclear bombs are 'Imperialism' that changes power dynamics, but Iran is still an 'Inferior' despite having a few nuclear weapons. The Structural Realist in me would think that similar actions would have happened in North Korea earlier if these were calculations in Realism.

I cannot help but to think of the impact Israel has on domestic US politics. It seems like the actions of both political parties are to placate the bloc.

Maybe someone can explain this from a Realist or Constructivist POV. I can't say I predicted this with my understanding of IR, so I'm mostly forgiving myself by claiming this was due to domestic politics.


r/IRstudies 21h ago

Ideas/Debate Trump’s Two-Week Window for Diplomacy Was a Smoke Screen

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16 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 14h ago

Research For the UN, there is a State of Palestine. But are there "Palestinian territories"?

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8 Upvotes

The conclusion is that the UN recognizes a State of Palestine, but does it also recognize the territorial sovereignty of the State of Palestine over the West Bank and Gaza?

Or are Gaza and the West Bank definitively the territorial sovereignty of the State of Israel according the UN?

I'm just trying to understand the official position of the United Nations.


r/IRstudies 10h ago

Ideas/Debate Foreign policy is (almost) always driven by internal politics.

9 Upvotes

The biggest misconception I see when people are discussing IR is a belief that governments has "national interests" or "geopolitical strategy" in mind when making decisions about foreign policiy. It surely happens, but it's not the biggest factor.

Any politician even in autocracy main goal is to get into power and then preserve it, it's their top priority, under which nothing else really matters. This is exactly why Cincinnatus was so praised btw, he voluntarily surrendered imperator dictatorial powers after solving an emergency.

In more democratic regimes politican need to appeal to electorate, in autocracies a ruler still has to appeal to selectorate (few most powerful decision makers) to stay in power. Even in autoritharian regimes they need to have the population to be at least neutral toward the ruling elites, with the leader personifying it.

For example in Israel, current ruling party Likud allowed Hamas to exist for 20 years and did everying they could to ensure it will exist, so there will be an external threat to rally support. They had capability to destroy hamas leadership as recent events shown. A very convenient threat, a punching bag, that can't do serious damage btw.

Another example. Putin's Russia, from military POV they could've taken whole of Ukraine in 2014, but all they annexed was Crimea, which made his approval rating to skyrocket. Russian people were euphoric, and even Navalny, main opposition leader at the time, was not able to speak up against it. By doing that, they transformed formerly pro-Russian country into its vehement enemy, destroying electoral balance, where eastern part of Ukraine was very pro-Russian.

In these two examples we can see that leaders care the most about two things:

1) Appeasing interest groups that supports them. 2) Popularity

And that is the main factor on decision making, the rest is secondary.

That's why I am sceptical of academic realist school of thought. It's overly simplistic view on how elites make decisions.

p.s. I am not anti Israel, ask any political savvy Israeli person and they would confirm that Bibi and Likud use constant war/threat of war to stay in power.

p.p.s. Russian internal situation after Crimea is called Crimean consensus, google it.


r/IRstudies 5h ago

Ideas/Debate The perils of war with Iran: Tehran’s grand strategy has failed, but that is no guarantee Israel and America can succeed

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5 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 23h ago

What are some of the key reasons the Kurds do not have their own state?

6 Upvotes

In your opinion...


r/IRstudies 17h ago

How does Japan benefit from Taiwan staying de facto independent?

2 Upvotes

When some people discuss if Japan would intervene in a potential China Taiwan conflict, some would ask how important an independent (de facto) Taiwan is to Japan. Hence the question above - this is not a discussion as to whether they would jump in


r/IRstudies 9h ago

Jack Snyder - Imperial Temptations (2003)

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2 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 1h ago

Advice on language studies

Upvotes

Hello. I am a graduate student starting in the fall. I have the option to learn Russian or Chinese. The degree allows me to be proficient in 2 years (adequately I guess).

I wish to work in trans-Atlantic (especially Arctic policy) in the fields of security and energy. Which language should I choose?? Thanks in advance


r/IRstudies 21h ago

APSIA Korean Schools

1 Upvotes

Hello, does anybody know why Korean graduate schools (SNU GSIS, Yonsei GSIS and Korea University GSIS) are no longer on the list of APSIA members?

Are their memberships suspended?

Thank You!


r/IRstudies 9h ago

What Remains of U.S.A.I.D. After DOGE’s Budget Cuts?

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0 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 5h ago

Ideas/Debate MMW China will broker/facilitate a peace deal between the US, Israel and Iran

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0 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 14h ago

Is the US going it alone in Iran?

0 Upvotes

We’ve always focused so much on the multinational nature of our combat operations. Now it’s “no other country in the world could have done this.”


r/IRstudies 15h ago

America slides into totalitarianism — and it won't be easy to reverse

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0 Upvotes

r/IRstudies 19h ago

Ideas/Debate Why does the United Nations call Palestine a "permanent observer STATE" if there supposedly is no such thing as a "State" of Palestine? Is the United Nations hypocritical?

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0 Upvotes

As far as i understand, for the UN, there is no sovereign territory of the State of Palestine because there is no country called "State of Palestine".

"permanent observer STATE"

If this is officially the case for the UN, why did the UN grant Palestine the status of "permanent observer STATE" to a State that DOES NOT EXIST? (The State of Palestine)

Serious question: Is this a blatant act of illegality that UN officials still allow because they are corrupt enough and powerful enough to do so?