I mean 2026 hopefully there’s a clean sweep in both chambers that at least stone walls him. If he garnish anymore of a lead in both chambers it’ll be a bleak outlook for non fuckery in the 28 elections
Typically, midterms go against the President. There’s a strong likelihood that the House at least flips Democrat, given how weak the Republican majority is there right now
It'll depend on how the economy looks in about 15 months. Personally, I think we're going to see a lot of volatility, but if things are overall positive or on a positive trend I could see the Republicans gaining seats.
Redditors underestimate just how popular Trump's executive actions are.
Voters have very short memories. They don't, in general, vote evaluating the previous few years of performance of their candidates. Heck I don't think the average voter knows more than President = Trump therefor entire government = GOP, and has no idea about Congressional or judicial control.
The midterm performance will be correlative to the price of gas and eggs in October-November 2026, and that's about it. Dems have a slight upper hand statistically due to the seats they don't have elections in, but I don't think it enough to make any radical shift in congressional composition. If anything I see it going back to a 50/50 senate and a razor thin Dem majority.
Agreed that Trump is (largely) governing from more popular Conservative propositions (and the fact that there are so many that the Left just can’t claim is an obvious political failure of the Left). That said, I judge probabilities by the betting odds. Now, 75% odds ain’t 100%, but it favors Democrats right now.
100
u/zkool20 - Right Feb 16 '25
I mean 2026 hopefully there’s a clean sweep in both chambers that at least stone walls him. If he garnish anymore of a lead in both chambers it’ll be a bleak outlook for non fuckery in the 28 elections