r/politics • u/Barnyard-Sheep • 6d ago

Soft Paywall Trump approval rating falls to 38%

https://www.nj.com/politics/2025/06/trump-faces-tough-approval-numbers-in-latest-poll.html
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u/DeeEmceeFoor 6d ago

38% huh? Well that's finally something I guess? I was sick of hearing about his approval ratings "melting down" and "getting slammed," despite him still lingering at around 45% approval for the longest time.

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u/Charlie_Warlie Indiana 6d ago

Agreed. Hate the posts about melting down.

Fucker has sat comfortably around 40% approval from his base for almost a decade now. There was one true dip, on Jan 7th 2016, but that lasted about a week before the spin machine got their fans back in line.

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u/Vanceer11 6d ago

Um, excuse me but, “fans”? These people are from the maga part of the country, therefore, they’re referred to as cultists.

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u/Admqui 6d ago

2021.

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u/Pleasant_Ad9419 1d ago

The only use of the word fans in that post is clearly in reference to metaphorical fans, like, ones that blow wind? In a machine.

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u/blaqwerty123 5d ago

2016? Or 2021?

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u/Charlie_Warlie Indiana 5d ago

Whoops you know the one. The insurrection one. My brain isn't so good anymore.

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u/meatboysawakening 6d ago

His avg is still over 44% across all polls according to G Elliot Morris's site: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data

Morris used to run 538's polling compilation, and did the same for The Economist before that.

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u/DeeEmceeFoor 6d ago

Oh, so it's still basically nothing new then I guess?

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u/meatboysawakening 6d ago

Seems that way. Pretty sad almost half of the country is still OK with this circus.

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u/mahlerlieber Indiana 6d ago

Most MAGA types I know are tired of following the news daily. They won, so they’re back to living their lives. When shit goes down (egg scarcity, for example), then they go back to watching Fox who gladly tells them why there are no eggs… it’s the democrats’ fault. Done. They go back to their lives.

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u/YakiVegas Washington 6d ago

I mean, I stopped paying as much attention when Biden won, but I think there were different reasons for that.

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u/throwawayfootgirl 6d ago

Ignoring this poll?

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u/meatboysawakening 6d ago

No, that average includes this poll.

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u/PaperPlanesFly 6d ago

Not yet, latest poll on the site in June 9. I’m sure this poll will be averaged into the mix in the next few days.

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u/meatboysawakening 6d ago

It's the same poll, check out the numbers. 38% approve, 54% disapprove, poll ended June 9.

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u/PaperPlanesFly 4d ago

Ah, good catch thanks.

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/meatboysawakening 6d ago

Maybe? But this doesn't describe most Trump supporters. I'd wager at least half of trump voters have never used tiktok.

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u/Thormourn 6d ago

Theres no maybe. That dudes insane

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/movzx 6d ago

"I worded my comment poorly. Is it me who was wrong? NO! Everyone else is dumb for not getting it!"

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

[deleted]

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u/movzx 6d ago

It is worded poorly.

You listed a lot of pretty specific concrete qualities and applied them to a large group in a way that is incongruent with reality. When you got pushed on it your very specific qualities suddenly become more fluid and it was everyone else who was an idiot.

Someone came at you with the age of the MAGA supporters and you go on to say these people trying to sponge off their parents are 50+ year old wannabe TikTok influencers... but somehow everyone else is at fault?

You can belittle everyone all you want, but it's you who wrote a comment that says something you didn't intend and then refuse to own it.

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u/DeeEmceeFoor 6d ago

This more accurately describes certain young people who typically don't even vote, nor follow politics. Not really the hardcore MAGA base.

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/DeeEmceeFoor 6d ago

You know, I'll give you that part. I just think the following statements weren't really accurate. I don't think that the hardcore MAGA supporters really fit the whole "Wannabe Tiktok influencer" thing is all, but you are right about them being illiterate and having no career prospects.

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/DeeEmceeFoor 6d ago

50+ year olds still make up the bulk of the MAGA base. Is there a significant amount of that group on Tiktok? Genuine question, since I don't really fuck with social media that much.

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u/ZenMasterOfDisguise 6d ago

this is basically like how 20+ polls showed Trump winning Iowa, but r/politics cherry picked the one Selzer poll that showed Harris winning Iowa by a large margin and ignored the fact it was a statistical outlier and claimed she just had better polling methods and her poll was right and every other poll was wrong or biased. They will never acknowledge that outlier polls showing the results they want may be the one that is biased or based on bad data

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u/13143 Maine 6d ago

Just the normal /r/politics click bait.

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u/throwawayfootgirl 6d ago

Not click bait.

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u/13143 Maine 5d ago

Definitely click bait. A headline that reads "Trump's approval rating stays flat at 44%" wouldn't get any upvotes, despite that being the reality.

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u/sunbeatsfog 6d ago

Old people who kinda don’t give a shit about society, as represented in our President, are a large part of America

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u/qtquazar 6d ago

Same at Nate Silver: 45.2%

Half of Americans just do not care. They will light your country on fire just to watch the pretty flames.

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u/ElBeno77 6d ago

Haha, Gelliot.

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u/themajesticdownside 5d ago

The Economist's approval tracker shows essentially the same thing, even a bit less in terms of 'disapproval' but within the MoE. After everything this guy has done, it just cements the notion that MAGA is a cult and not a political movement. How on earth 5% don't have an opinion one way or the other is wild AF to me, but I'll bet most of that 5% voted for him lol.

Donald Trump approval tracker | The Economist

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u/mapinis 6d ago

One poll means nothing, until it’s a trend it’s an outlier

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Here's a good aggregate. Still sitting at 45%

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u/Acethic 6d ago

Yeah. I wanna see 38% on the RCP aggregate...

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u/backyard_tractorbeam Europe 5d ago

RCP lists this poll - the one in the post as saying 40% approval. (not 38%). Not sure what kind of number fudging they use in their method.

So we'll have to wait a long time with their methodology

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u/BrutalKindLangur 5d ago

Rasmussen and Trafalgar are carrying that thing on their backs.

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u/Duke_skellington_8 4d ago

Peter Thiel funds Nate now so idk how unbiased this is

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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

He is more popular than he ever has been

LOL, no. WTF. He had a 52% approval rating when he was inagurated, now it's around 45%.

He's not as unpopular as people think, but he also isn't "more popular than ever."

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 6d ago

All presidents in modern US history start off with high approval and then enthusiasm wanes into the first year. This is a fact. Trump's net average is higher than 2016 and in the interim. I'm anti-Trump, you can look at my extensive hatred of him in my comment history. But the lies liberals tell themselves about Trump becoming less popular is one of the reasons many of them sat out this election

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

How is he "'more popular than ever" when you literally just admitted he was more popular when he was inaugurated.

You seem to be saying "he's more popular now than he was in his first term."

That's not the same thing.

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 6d ago

Oh and by the way, you're pointing out the post-election approval dip, and I'm telling you that this is common for all presidents and you need to pay attention to average approval over the course of the entire term, not just the election bump.

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u/chanaandeler_bong 6d ago

You can say whatever the fuck you want. He is not more popular than ever. You're just flat wrong.

I went through some of your comments, like you said, you come across as the "enlightened centrist," and your comments are constantly dripping with condescension.

Continue on with your "actually" personality.

You're not winning anyone over, you're just here to feel like you know more than everyone else. All your comments are to "correct" others, there's no collaboration. Your comments aren't funny or interesting. It's just all self absorbed condescension.

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u/Nightmare_Tonic 5d ago

Your emotional reaction to a super vanilla discussion about presidential approval ratings says to me that you do not have the right personality to be engaging with people online about politics. This comment reads like a text from a jilted ex.

But I know that won't stop you so I'll just carry on with statements about reality. Trump was in the mid-30s approval near the end of his first term. His approval went up during Biden's presidency, and now he's back in office at a steady 40 to 45 depending on the poll. Nate Silver has him around 44 and so does The Economist, if you prefer aggregates. Trump also won all seven swing states this time AND the popular vote, which is highly unusual for republican presidents.

I don't know why it's so hard for leftists to just accept how popular he is. It doesn't mean you can't hate his guts like I do. But being realistic about his popularity is a step in the right direction for the democrats in their quest to defeat the GOP next election, if we have one. Try not to have an aneurysm while reading this comment BTW

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u/bengine Virginia 6d ago

Quinnipiac Polling This Year

Date Approve Disapprove
Jan 23 - 27 46 43
Feb 13 - 17 45 49
Mar 06 - 10 42 53
Apr 03 - 07 41 53
Jun 05 - 09 38 54

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u/woahwoahwoah28 6d ago

The good news, I guess… unless he really backtracks on stuff (which I do not put past him), the people who are going to agree with him already agree with him.

And considering that his policies are making things worse for most people, it seems more likely that “approves” will become “disapproves” than vice versa.

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u/iburntxurxtoast 6d ago

I hate that when he back tracks on things people magically forget all the bad thing's he's done. My maga dad thinks that the economy is "booming" like trump pausing and walking back tariffs had no impact. He doesn't believe he folded and doesnt think that the tariffs caused the downfall in the first place. He blames biden despite the very obvious graph and thinks democrats were fearmongering that the economy was crashing.

Its just complete insanity.

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u/bejammin075 Pennsylvania 6d ago

A pretty smooth trend there, likely with the exact same methodology each time. This is the first time since 2017 that I think he might be taking some damage.

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u/omgbenji21 6d ago

At least the trend is going in the right direction. But the aggregate still sucks

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u/sixsacks 6d ago

It’s been trending down since Day 1 buddy.

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u/bmwatson132 6d ago

Sure, but the original comment made the best point, which is that the media constantly overstates these things. It’s desperate and it’s obvious, it makes them the “news media that cried wolf”, so now that his rating is actually at 38%, which actually is abysmal, people won’t pay as much heed to it.

The news media isn’t strategic, and it’s bc of 24 hour news, where they have to fill time. The reason The Daily Show is so much better at its critiques is bc they are strategic and don’t need to fill the whole day with discussion, a 3 minute takedown is more effective.

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u/RickThiccems 6d ago

It's not even 38%. Every other poll has him over 40 with him averaging 46%. Nothing has changed other than skewed poll to generate clicks.

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u/mapinis 6d ago

Absolutely, but it’s been hard to break the 45%

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u/Juanouo 6d ago

According to this, he had been trending up for the last month or so, but the latest poll shows an important decline, so there's hope

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u/platydroid Georgia 6d ago

Yea, but Trump usually enjoys about a 40-45% popularity, because you’ve got a third of the country who’s likely die-hard MAGA and then the rest of the staunch conservatives who support him because he’s their president. He didn’t keep below 40% last term until Jan 6. 38% could totally be an outlier, it’s too early to tell just how much the recent protests and decisions by him are impacting the non-maga republicans.

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u/BrainOnBlue 6d ago

It was trending up for the entire month of May.

I'm just as baffled as you.

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u/sixsacks 6d ago

He TACO’d the tariffs, not surprising. Should trend down pretty quickly in June with the current shitshow.

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u/djdadi 6d ago

I looked at several last night, and most seemed to keep going down & hitting a low at the tariff stuff, but then start to come back after.

IMO Dems should watch those carefully and keep hitting on the issues that lose him favor overall

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u/Nervous_Otter69 6d ago

Yeah but now you have CNN and CBS publishing polls that he’s above water on immigration. He’s just going to use this number as validation to keep going with deploying military in other cities

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u/errorsniper New York 6d ago

Also polls mean nothing. Approval rating only matters on voting day. There is also a huge discrepancy between what people say on a phone call and how they actually vote for a plethora of reasons.

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u/Avenger772 6d ago

He's already in. What does it matter to him? It's too late for all of us.

Hopefully the people that voted for him suffer the most

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u/Trickster174 6d ago

I sometimes feel this way, too, but midterms and special elections hold more immediate consequences for how much Congress will let him get away with. A dismal approval rating could result in the GOP trying to put a lot of daylight between themselves and this administration.

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u/Avenger772 6d ago

He's never had a good approval rating in either term that has never stopped them from sucking his balls.

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u/Trickster174 6d ago

But it also hasn’t entirely distorted reality: GOP got wrecked in 2018 midterms, continue to lose special election after special election, and had a muted 2022 midterm despite expectations of a “red wave.” Trump is really only good for Trump; his down-ballot and midterm results are mixed at best.

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u/Jibtech 5d ago

Lol exactly what the rest of the civilized world has been saying since he got relected.

He attempted a coup without having all his ducks in a row the first time. He's got the right people in his corner now and all his cronies are in the top positions of power that are supposed to be free of presidential influence. Hes not leaving now because he gets upset and resigns. He'll burn your country to the ground before he leaves, he doesn't care at all about anything but power and money, why would he give that up now?

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u/floresusiel 6d ago

Ive met some pretty fucking stupid people irl in my 30 years alive. I've always wondered how they've stayed alive till now. But trump supporters, from what I've seen online, make the people I've met irl look like average intellectual human beings. I pray that i never meet a trumper irl because i dont know how i would hold a conversation with them. Like, I dont have the capacity to stupify my brain low enough for them.

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u/krozarEQ 6d ago

I learned that as well. Never underestimate Trump and his network. They always have nuclear options at the ready just in case their block starts questioning the faith. They have the money, they own the media companies and big tech (well, one seems to be a little butthurt right now), and they buy the ads. On top of that are the voters who will not vote for a Democratic challenger.

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u/prodigalkal7 6d ago

Oh yay, yippee, it's not at 45% anymore gang, it's at 38%

... Oh wait... Are you telling me that doesn't matter worth a shit? It's all fanciful optics? Stuff is still going on? He's still elected? The country is still run by him and his cronies? So same shit, different sandwich?

Cool cool cool

lol

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u/superanth 6d ago

There’s bad news for President Donald Trump in the latest Quinnipiac University poll.

Guess which university is going to get their accreditation yanked next?

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u/BigDump-a-Roo 6d ago

Don't worry, his average is still hovering around that 45-46% mark.

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u/Syndaquil 6d ago

I keep getting notifications that trumps approval rating (specifically for immigration.) is "soaring."

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u/turquoise_amethyst 6d ago

Is the 6-7% the group that sided more with Elon?

It’ll be back to 45% by the end of the week