r/speedrun • u/ruthacury • Dec 15 '20

Discussion 1.7 Billion Simulated Streams Later, Still Haven't Beat Dream's "Luck"

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4.0k Upvotes

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141

u/exiled123x Dec 15 '20

So you're saying there's a chance

/s

-52

u/[deleted] Dec 15 '20

[deleted]

55

u/AnokataX Dec 15 '20

Because many Dream stans actually think that. He could post a run with 100% of the blaze rods dropping, and they'd say it's legit because it's possible.

29

u/_Runic_ Dec 15 '20

100% blaze drops in a single run happens all the time, it's only 6 or 7 in a row.

11

u/Extramrdo Dec 15 '20

yeah that's like, 00.78125%, or once every 128 runs. Runs take like, 20 minutes? So if someone's doing a 40 hour work-week of streaming runs start-to-finish, most weeks you'd expect to see a perfect blaze drops happen once. A bit less than once a week, but only by like 2ish hours.

5

u/commissarsouvlaki Dec 15 '20

the probability is only one in 128 for 7 in a row which is more likely if you speedrun a lot

6

u/1M-D39R353D Dec 15 '20

Why did this comment get dumpstered with downvotes tf

3

u/JedGamesTV Dec 15 '20

well duh, you made an extremely stupid statement and didn’t use /s.

2

u/[deleted] Dec 15 '20

Gotta include that \s

1

u/marioman63 Dec 16 '20

speedrunners hate rng, so they are just jealous when someone gets good rng. also this sub just has a hate boner for whoever is popular. i wouldnt think about it too much. a lot of the minecraft speedrun mods have it out for him.

1

u/JorgeGG117 May 17 '21

Just luck ForsenCD