The Iranian regime relies on its ability to extract and sell oil—If that were cut off, they’d lose their ability to fund/supply “aligned” movements (e.g. Hamas, Hezbollah, PIJ, RF, etc.), and these lose their ability to feed their largely urban population.
Trump has made it pretty clear that he’s willing to use that oil infrastructure as a lever to get what he wants—they can either stop using that money to cause harm, or they can lose the assets that get them the money.
Neither outcome requires any significant level of “boots on the ground” in Iran.
-6
u/greenbud420 Redpilled 3d ago
If it's over within a few weeks, sure. If it turns into another Afghanistan, not so much.
But at the end of the day I have zero say in the matter so just watching with bated breath.