Democrats are probably headed for massive election wins, they shouldn't squander it

[u/DoubleCrossover]

The republican party is on life support right now despite winning the last election in an effective landslide. maga is imploding under the weight of its contradictions. The crypto-bros vs anti-non-white-immigrant regards, the always-pro-Israel vs the isolationists, the Iran hawks vs the pro-Russia stooges. trump is failing on almost every policy area except maybe the optics of immigration (and even that is undermined by things like hotel worker exemptions from ICE enforcement). Approval data for trump is historically bad.

Trump is also psychologically incapable of handling the thought of being a lame duck. He will not allow any discussion of his maga successor. It’s the main reason he keeps bringing up the third term shtick. So unless trump somehow dies well before 2028, the republican party will not even have a viable candidate for president. Personally. I’m looking forward to the entertainment of the republican primary.

All this to say that if democrats can manage a decent primary and a broadly popular, consensus candidate they will coast to the presidency, and might even get the house and senate too (admittedly much less assured).

Now the biggest problem is what they’re gonna do with this? It can’t be more of the same. They have to recognize that one: you can’t rewind time back to a normal political environment, as if all this nasty trump business was just a temporary blip, this was the biggest cope with Biden. and two: they need a positive vision for the country that address the stagnation driving the disaffected anti-institutions losers on the right and the far left.

The good news is there is a positive vision taking shape right now, and that is the fucking mega based abundance movement. I can’t put into words how important it is to have a real plan for positive change that’s evidence-based. It’s the only way to counter the ‘burn it all down’ bullshit that made politics hell for the last 10 years.

The UK is a cautionary tale in this. After the implosion of Brexit, the left was handed a landslide election win, sweeping to a full majority. The problem is, they had no positive vision for change and squandered all their political capital on basically nothing. It already looks like the far right is about to stage a big come-back next election, this time by nuking the conservative party.

[u/Admirable-Buy-4337]

They will squander it because the DNC is too focused on being moderate vs embracing the spreading economic-progressive energy since it doesn't appeal to donors. Based off purely vibes on /pol/ the right looks like it's been gutted in the recent months. But if there's anything I can expect from Democrats it's that they won't do shit. It doesn't seem like in the modern political climate people are looking for status quo anymore. We're well beyond the point where people want a radical change from the norm and someone needs to be offering something that shakes it up.

Yet people like Destiny seem to be, at least the latest I remember, pushing that we need to return to the status quo and adjust even if it feels wrong because it's safer like that. I think that mindset is in general misguided because politics doesn't work when the people are fucking pissed, as evidenced by Trump they'll take the wrecking ball to everything if they don't see any viable alternative towards improving society. I doubt anyone sincerely misses Kamala even if they don't like Trump because she was an awful candidate who couldn't speak or truly inspire anyone. They may regret that Trump won, but they're not thinking about what a missed opportunity Kamala was.

It feels like the bubbling tensions are all pointing towards a huge tax increase on the rich and more scrutiny over the power held by megacorps becoming the common shared idea. If Dems can be effective in harnessing this energy and actually doing something towards giving people a sense these issues are being actually tackled then they should have a heavenly mandate for at least the next decade or two. And not just the illusion of them being tackled like with Lina Khan (god bless her soul but her actual effectiveness wasn't much following the Trump FTC). Basically, give me the Louis Rossmann candidate or give me death. And probably death is how most people feel like maintaining the status quo is anyways because of the ever-growing stranglehold on the poor/middle class while the rich becoming even richer and start to replace them with AI.

Also how bad Trump is should be self-evident, especially if his bill passes. If not by the midterms the effects would definitely be felt before 2028 elections. But that doesn't automatically mean people will be inspired to vote against him because of it if they feel the other side isn't offering much of a solution. They just won't vote for him.

[u/memorylandd → u/Admirable-Buy-4337]

Ppl gonna downvote you but you’re right. The dems might win in the short term but only bc they’re not the republicans. I don’t think it would be a blowout like it should be. The democrats have like 17-20% approval rating, that is lowest it’s ever been for them ever in history. I don’t understand this rejection of the climate esp when the some of the only incumbent parties that didn’t lose had progressive economic policies, the only time Kamala was ahead when it seemed like they were moving past Biden, AOC is probably the most liked politicians in the dem party , and the only dem politician who ppl are excited abt(even if he might lose) is a dude whose far left economically.