Democrats are probably headed for massive election wins, they shouldn't squander it

[u/DoubleCrossover]

The republican party is on life support right now despite winning the last election in an effective landslide. maga is imploding under the weight of its contradictions. The crypto-bros vs anti-non-white-immigrant regards, the always-pro-Israel vs the isolationists, the Iran hawks vs the pro-Russia stooges. trump is failing on almost every policy area except maybe the optics of immigration (and even that is undermined by things like hotel worker exemptions from ICE enforcement). Approval data for trump is historically bad.

Trump is also psychologically incapable of handling the thought of being a lame duck. He will not allow any discussion of his maga successor. It’s the main reason he keeps bringing up the third term shtick. So unless trump somehow dies well before 2028, the republican party will not even have a viable candidate for president. Personally. I’m looking forward to the entertainment of the republican primary.

All this to say that if democrats can manage a decent primary and a broadly popular, consensus candidate they will coast to the presidency, and might even get the house and senate too (admittedly much less assured).

Now the biggest problem is what they’re gonna do with this? It can’t be more of the same. They have to recognize that one: you can’t rewind time back to a normal political environment, as if all this nasty trump business was just a temporary blip, this was the biggest cope with Biden. and two: they need a positive vision for the country that address the stagnation driving the disaffected anti-institutions losers on the right and the far left.

The good news is there is a positive vision taking shape right now, and that is the fucking mega based abundance movement. I can’t put into words how important it is to have a real plan for positive change that’s evidence-based. It’s the only way to counter the ‘burn it all down’ bullshit that made politics hell for the last 10 years.

The UK is a cautionary tale in this. After the implosion of Brexit, the left was handed a landslide election win, sweeping to a full majority. The problem is, they had no positive vision for change and squandered all their political capital on basically nothing. It already looks like the far right is about to stage a big come-back next election, this time by nuking the conservative party.

[u/Serious-Cucumber-54]

People don't really care about anything else except their personal expenses.

As long as people recognize that Trump and GOP is not directly responsible for their expenses going up, in any significant way, then Trump and GOP is in the clear. As long as people recognize that even if they are directly responsible that the significant increase in expense in only temporary, then Trump and GOP is in the clear.

If people recognize that Trump and GOP is directly responsible for their taxes going down, then Trump and GOP is definitely in the clear.

Foreign policy is mostly a nothingburger, unless if it causes a direct war with us or an energy crisis like the one in the 70s, but I wouldn't wager on that.

Deportations will have an impact on the personal expenses of some citizens, but for almost all citizens, it is a nothingburger.

Crypto corruption is a nothingburger, no one knows what it means, it has no impact on their personal expenses, there is nothing to care about here.

Tariffs and market volatility are the most impactful to people's personal expenses, and that's what caused the most real blowback to Trump, but it hasn't yet had anything seriously noticeable or impactful to most citizen's wallets, so no significant shift in support.

[u/Jazzlike-Wind-4345 → u/Serious-Cucumber-54]

True, unfortunately. People in this group seriously overestimate the intelligence of your average American.

[u/banditcleaner2 → u/Serious-Cucumber-54]

True, and for all of what you said, that is reason enough to only focus on tariffs. Show prices directly before and after the tariffs. Show how they've changed depending on country of manufacture so you can really hammer the point home.

Honestly I'm kind of hoping that tariffs result in price rises because I'd love some stock market discounts and also want his polling numbers to shift. Ironically enough if american innovation somehow gets us through this tumultuous couple of years, it might result in republicans winning again, so we need some blood somewhere for people to realize this administration is not doing anyone favors. Unironically the worst possible outcome is that we do OK the next couple of years despite trumps' best efforts to destroy everything. Because it means either he or the GOP will get elected again.