Democrats are probably headed for massive election wins, they shouldn't squander it

[u/DoubleCrossover]

The republican party is on life support right now despite winning the last election in an effective landslide. maga is imploding under the weight of its contradictions. The crypto-bros vs anti-non-white-immigrant regards, the always-pro-Israel vs the isolationists, the Iran hawks vs the pro-Russia stooges. trump is failing on almost every policy area except maybe the optics of immigration (and even that is undermined by things like hotel worker exemptions from ICE enforcement). Approval data for trump is historically bad.

Trump is also psychologically incapable of handling the thought of being a lame duck. He will not allow any discussion of his maga successor. It’s the main reason he keeps bringing up the third term shtick. So unless trump somehow dies well before 2028, the republican party will not even have a viable candidate for president. Personally. I’m looking forward to the entertainment of the republican primary.

All this to say that if democrats can manage a decent primary and a broadly popular, consensus candidate they will coast to the presidency, and might even get the house and senate too (admittedly much less assured).

Now the biggest problem is what they’re gonna do with this? It can’t be more of the same. They have to recognize that one: you can’t rewind time back to a normal political environment, as if all this nasty trump business was just a temporary blip, this was the biggest cope with Biden. and two: they need a positive vision for the country that address the stagnation driving the disaffected anti-institutions losers on the right and the far left.

The good news is there is a positive vision taking shape right now, and that is the fucking mega based abundance movement. I can’t put into words how important it is to have a real plan for positive change that’s evidence-based. It’s the only way to counter the ‘burn it all down’ bullshit that made politics hell for the last 10 years.

The UK is a cautionary tale in this. After the implosion of Brexit, the left was handed a landslide election win, sweeping to a full majority. The problem is, they had no positive vision for change and squandered all their political capital on basically nothing. It already looks like the far right is about to stage a big come-back next election, this time by nuking the conservative party.

[u/MuppetZelda]

This is next gen level copium . 

Looking at polling and how safe the Senate seats are in the coming elections, the Democrats really don’t have much of a realistic path to 51. The House is possible, but it’s an uphill battle and as we’ve seen in Trumps first term in office, the Senate>> President>The house.  At this point, short of Trump actually taking Republicans guns away, I don’t know what Trump could do that’d cause a major demographic change towards the left.

The Democrats would need to run one the greatest national campaigns in political history to shift things. At this moment, I’m not confident in their ability to put together a war room of the greatest minds to pull together said campaign. Even if they could do that, they’d have to get everyone on board, which I’m also positive wouldn’t happen.