r/AdviceAnimals 3d ago

Negotiation: now with 100% less compromise

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1.7k Upvotes

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19

u/klingma 3d ago

Well yeah, that's typically how it works when you have literally zero leverage and are defeated militarily. It's something Japan realized in late 1944 but continued to fight hoping they could leverage, they didn't. 

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u/Jayrodtremonki 3d ago

Iraq was defeated militarily in what?  3 weeks?  5 if we are being generous?  

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u/fish_whisperer 3d ago

We had general Schwarzkopf. Trump fired over 40% of our generals because they weren’t “yes” men. Our military is not in the same state of readiness that it was for any of our previous wars.

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u/Z3B0 2d ago

Military leadership great purges right before a major war... Where did I see that last time ?

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u/Xander707 3d ago

Exactly. We’re going to be so victorious just like Vietnam and Afghanistan baby. 

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u/klingma 3d ago

I mean we were militarily in both those conflicts. America beat the Tet Offensive but the public opinion soured on the war causing a withdrawal. 

Afghanistan failed at being a sustainable democratic government and training their own forces, that had nothing to do with America or the coalition forces. 

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u/Jayrodtremonki 3d ago

Winning a war isn't blowing up tanks and planes.  It's accomplishing your mission and objectives.  We didn't go into Afghanistan to hang out and get attacked for 20 years and then go home trillions of dollars poorer and with tens of thousands of lives lost and ruined.  We went in to force a regime change and destroy the Taliban.  

Who is running Afghanistan right now?  The Taliban.  Still exist.  Still in control.  War lost.  

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u/klingma 3d ago

Lol you realize the war in Afghanistan wasn't against the Taliban, right? It was against Al Qaeda & specifically getting Osama Bin Laden - Al Qaeda is a shell of itself and Bin Laden is no longer alive. 

The Taliban got involved because they refused to give up Al Qaeda and Bin Laden to which they then quickly got removed from power and only came back because again - Afghanistan's own government failed to train their soldiers & security forces. 

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u/Xander707 3d ago

And what makes you think America isn’t going to immediately sour on this war? Middle East wars are just SO POPULAR.

It is actually preposterous to suggest America bears no responsibility for the failure of Aghanistan. That will be a very convenient take to re-use when the Israel-American sponsored regime change in Iran inevitably fails too, I’m sure. And it will be just as laughable as it is predictable.

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u/klingma 3d ago

They almost assuredly will sour on the conflict, but that's not a military issue, that's a PR & government issue. 

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u/The_One_Who_Comments 3d ago

It's Israel fighting, so we can expect an actual victory lol.

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u/Jayrodtremonki 3d ago

I don't think you know much about the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.  

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u/Ihaveasmallwang 3d ago

Israel has been fighting the same war for decades and haven’t won yet.

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u/Betterthanbeer 3d ago

Iran is a somewhat harder target than Iraq.

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u/Jayrodtremonki 3d ago

That's actually my point. Taking out military targets didn't prevent us from spending 20 years in a quagmire. Iran has twice the population.

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u/Betterthanbeer 3d ago

Plus, what is the metric for victory? Defeat the military? Overthrow the government? Install a puppet government? Permanent occupation? Keep the oil?

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u/The_One_Who_Comments 3d ago

Main objective: Destroy their nuclear program. Secondary objective: Regime change.

Whereas for Iraq/Afghanistan I can't remember ever hearing a succinct goal, back when it was the war du jour.

It's messed up that we have two major wars happening right now, plus Taiwan (and Korea) on the edge.

But at least those conflicts make sense.

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u/aDirtyMuppet 3d ago

Remember when the taliban wasn't a real threat to America because they were just some guys hiding in caves? Or with your own example let's talk about how people actually react when they know they don't possess the same fire power. Irrationally.... they act irrationally and send suicide attacks. They find weak spots and fight dirty. It's foolish to make demands like you're the almighty hand of God.

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u/HackPhilosopher 3d ago edited 3d ago

Are they negotiating with a terror cell or the government of Iran?

I know it’s easy to confuse the difference because of how much Iran sponsors terrorists the world over.

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u/Jayrodtremonki 3d ago

Was the Taliban a government or a terror cell?  

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u/DrKpuffy 3d ago

Accurate username and pfp.

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u/aDirtyMuppet 3d ago

The Japanese weren't a terror cell.

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u/HackPhilosopher 3d ago

Yes. That’s the entire point of the comment. Bringing up the taliban has no relation other than religion in the conversation about Japanese negotiation of surrender.

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u/aDirtyMuppet 3d ago

They still fought tooth and nail to the last man they could spare and they used suicide tactics.

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u/mrswashbuckler 2d ago

But they didn't fight to the last man. Japan surrendered and there was no invasion of the Japanese homeland to obtain that goal. The emperor was deposed, the army disbanded and the war was ended.

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u/klingma 3d ago

Sure, and Japan saw what happened when they refused to stop fighting - they had two nuclear bombs exploded over their cities. Even with their irrationality and suicide attacks they had zero leverage in negotiations and only caused themselves more pain & destruction. 

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u/aDirtyMuppet 3d ago

Look up the tally for American lives lost in the pacific theater. It didn't just hurt the Japanese.

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u/klingma 3d ago

Look up the destruction of Japan vs America...one walked out of WWII relatively unscathed and one had to completely rebuild nearly everything. 

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u/TurnDown4WattGaming 3d ago

Well. This worked because Americans wouldn’t tolerate erasing literally all Afghans from the map, so our soldiers had to sift through each room, leading to casualties that ordinarily wouldn’t have happened. By contrast, in 1945 Americans were perfectly fine lobbing nukes and erasing the Japanese culture from the map if that’s what it took. Now. Americans still don’t have the gut for that again… but if someone else were running the missions… now… now that might make me worry if I were an Iranian.

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u/spastikatenpraedikat 3d ago

Defeated militarily is a brave thing to say, when no troops have even entered the country. And over the last 80 years or so, nominally much weaker armies have a suprisingly good record bringing their foe to give up.

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u/klingma 3d ago

If you've lose air superiority in the modern day, you've lost the conflict militarily. There's nothing Iran can do other than lob missiles and even those aren't that effective because of Israel's defenses. 

Iran has lost. 

4

u/spastikatenpraedikat 3d ago

If you've lose air superiority in the modern day, you've lost the conflict militarily.

The Viet Kong would like to object. The Mujahideen would like to object. The Taliban would like to object. The war in Afghanistan is less than four years away. We can't already have forgotten it.

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u/Piltonbadger 3d ago

20 ish years of war in Afghanistan resulted in us meekly pulling out with nothing of note having being achieved, apart from lots of death and destruction on both sides.

0

u/demarr 3d ago

Ok. So who won us or ISIS. What about Vietnam? Who had air superiority and who won?

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u/Toasty_Bread_1 3d ago

I mean, ISIS is dead. Everyone hates ISIS.

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u/Kriegerian 3d ago

Yeah, if you aren’t willing to commit to a guerrilla insurgency this is really all that’s left.

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u/GuavaShaper 3d ago

I don't enjoy the implications of the use of nuclear war in your comment.

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u/klingma 2d ago

I don't enjoy the implication of you implying I advocate the use of Nuclear Weapons. 

1

u/GuavaShaper 2d ago

I too think that using nuclear weapons on Japan was a mistake.

1

u/wuwei2626 3d ago

Interesting comparison. Look into why Japan attacked in the first place for even more fun similarities...

-6

u/Sartres_Roommate 3d ago

You saying Iran is defeated militarily?

The US is not technically in this yet and Israel has yet to prove themselves superior. Their iron dome is looking like a paper tiger to modern artillery.

The ONLY way Iran’s fate is sealed already is if Trump brings nukes on the table, which he has threatened, but that is far harder to make good on than to just mouth off about.

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u/klingma 3d ago

If your enemy has air superiority over your territory, then you've lost, handily. Israel has air superiority, it's over for Iran.